Prediction markets
Number of rate cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts94.3%
Exactly 1 cut2.1%
Exactly 2 cuts0.5%
Fed rate decision in October 2026
Fed maintains rate85%
Hike 25bps15%
Cut 25bps2%
Recession this year?
Recession In 20265%
How high will US gas prices get in 2026
Above $4.6048%
Above $4.8033%
Above $5.0021%
Fed rate decision in December 2026
Hike 25bps72%
Fed maintains rate24%
Hike >25bps6%
US gas prices this week
Above 4.160099%
Above 4.180099%
Above 4.200099%
Jan 1
6.58M6,579,630
Number of rate cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
94%+ 20 contracts
Oct 28
2.47M2,468,445
Fed rate decision in October 2026
Fed maintains rate
85%+ 4 contracts
Jan 31
948k948,008
Recession this year?
Recession In 2026
5%Dec 31
928k928,004
How high will US gas prices get in 2026
Above $4.60
48%+ 12 contracts
Dec 9
599k599,171
Fed rate decision in December 2026
Hike 25bps
72%+ 4 contracts
Oct 19
542k542,545
US gas prices this week
Above 4.1600
99%+ 22 contracts
Nov 10
430k430,489
CPI in October
Greater than -0.1%
98%+ 11 contracts
Jan 31
359k359,895
Recession in ć
¤2027
Recession In 2027
19%Feb 28
282k282,988
US real GDP growth in 2026
2.1% to 2.5%
50%+ 13 contracts
Dec 10
258k258,895
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.1%
98%+ 20 contracts
Mar 1
168k168,466
More tech layoffs in 20ā26 than in 2025
More tech layoffs In 2026
95%Jan 13
165k165,064
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.3%
96%+ 20 contracts
Oct 19
144k144,986
US gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.2600
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 28
130k130,757
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026
Maintains rate
85%+ 4 contracts
Jul 28
124k124,769
Fed rate decision in July 2027
Fed maintains rate
78%+ 4 contracts
Nov 6
110k110,400
Unemployment in October
Above 3.7%
99%+ 13 contracts
Nov 6
109k109,160
Jobs numbers in Oct 2026
Above -25,000
94%+ 12 contracts
Dec 31
93k93,807
How low will gas prices in Texas get this year
Below $2.00
3%+ 5 contracts
Dec 8
86k86,524
Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting
Above 0.00%
99%+ 24 contracts
Jan 1
73k73,017
Next Fed rate hike
Before 2029
97%+ 4 contracts
Dec 31
106k106,929
How high will gas prices in California get this year
Above $6.60
36%+ 27 contracts
Jan 27
65k65,227
Fed rate decision in January 2027
Fed maintains rate
63%+ 4 contracts
Oct 19
63k63,176
Connecticut gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.3200
99%+ 16 contracts
Mar 17
58k58,077
Fed rate decision in March 2027
Hike 25bps
59%+ 4 contracts
Oct 19
57k57,129
Virginia gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.0350
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
51k51,531
Massachusetts gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.2350
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
47k47,892
Alabama gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.8700
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
46k46,353
Vermont gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.3500
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
41k41,894
Illinois gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.6350
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
40k40,168
Maine gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.3050
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
37k37,600
West Virginia gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.1600
99%+ 16 contracts
Dec 31
43k43,628
How low will US gas prices get in 2026
Below $3.60
25%+ 9 contracts
Oct 19
36k36,368
New York gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.3800
99%+ 16 contracts
Feb 28
34k34,365
US real GDP growth in 2035
2.1% to 2.5%
15%+ 13 contracts
Dec 31
42k42,572
How high will gas prices in New York get this year
Above $4.80
67%+ 19 contracts
Jan 13
33k33,764
CPI in December
Greater than -0.1%
91%+ 10 contracts
Dec 31
154k154,163
How high will gas prices in Texas get this year
Above $4.20
42%+ 20 contracts
Jun 9
32k32,966
Fed funds rate after Jun 2027 meeting
Above 0.50%
99%+ 24 contracts
Oct 29
29k29,599
European Central Bank rate decision in October
Maintain current rate
96%+ 4 contracts
Oct 19
28k28,990
Texas gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.7450
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
28k28,808
Mississippi gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.8550
99%+ 16 contracts
Jan 1
36k36,927
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year
Above $1100
11%+ 14 contracts
Jun 9
27k27,521
Fed rate decision in June 2027
Fed maintains rate
62%+ 4 contracts
Dec 10
26k26,335
CPI in November
Greater than -0.1%
88%+ 6 contracts
Oct 19
26k26,290
Pennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.4350
99%+ 26 contracts
Oct 19
25k25,778
Minnesota gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.2250
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
25k25,273
Washington gas prices tomorrow
Above $5.3500
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 27
24k24,282
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting
Above 0.25%
99%+ 24 contracts
Oct 19
22k22,679
Nebraska gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.2050
99%+ 16 contracts
Feb 28
21k21,663
US real GDP growth in 2033
1.6% to 2.0%
23%+ 13 contracts
Oct 19
20k20,081
California gas prices tomorrow
Above $6.1400
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
19k19,944
North Dakota gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.1100
99%+ 16 contracts
Dec 31
20k20,480
How low will gas prices in California get this year
Below $4.00
13%+ 4 contracts
Jan 1
19k19,037
Highest natural gas spot price inā 2026
$4.01 or above
72%+ 6 contracts
Nov 3
18k18,993
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November
Maintain current rate
82%+ 4 contracts
Oct 19
18k18,125
New Jersey gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.2050
99%+ 16 contracts
Feb 28
17k17,840
US real GDP growth in 2034
0.0% or Below
16%+ 13 contracts
Oct 19
17k17,352
New Hampshire gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.2250
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
17k17,218
Georgia gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.7000
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
17k17,147
Missouri gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.9000
99%+ 16 contracts
Feb 28
16k16,494
US real GDP growth in 2027
2.1% to 2.5%
14%+ 13 contracts
Oct 19
16k16,169
South Carolina gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.7950
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
15k15,950
Tennessee gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.8050
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 22
15k15,200
2026 October 22 Unemployment Claims
Above 190000
82%+ 9 contracts
Oct 19
15k15,169
Louisiana gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.8350
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
14k14,794
Iowa gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.1000
99%+ 16 contracts
Dec 31
14k14,774
How low will gas prices in Florida get this year
Below $2.60
9%+ 4 contracts
Dec 31
14k14,235
US real GDP growth in 2036
1.6% to 2.0%
31%+ 13 contracts
Oct 19
14k14,232
Rhode Island gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.1900
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
12k12,329
Hawaii gas prices tomorrow
Above $5.6000
99%+ 16 contracts
Dec 31
91k91,068
How high will gas prices in Florida get this year
Above $4.70
30%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
11k11,904
Florida gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.0700
97%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
11k11,774
Arizona gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.5850
99%+ 16 contracts
Feb 28
11k11,689
US real GDP growth in 2028
2.1% to 2.5%
13%+ 13 contracts
Jan 1
17k17,605
U.S. oil production per day in 2026
At least 14.00M bpd
83%+ 6 contracts
Oct 19
11k11,297
Arkansas gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.8750
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
11k11,130
Colorado gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.3050
99%+ 26 contracts
Oct 22
10k10,779
30-year mortgage rate this week
Above 7.30%
71%+ 18 contracts
Oct 19
10k10,674
Ohio gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.0200
99%+ 16 contracts
Dec 4
10k10,239
Unemployment in November
Above 3.8%
98%+ 13 contracts
Oct 19
9k9,969
Alaska gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.8950
99%+ 16 contracts
Feb 29
9k9,014
US real GDP growth in 2031
1.6% to 2.0%
12%+ 13 contracts
Mar 31
8k8,734
US solar capacity installed inā 2026
At least 40 GWdc
97%+ 4 contracts
Feb 28
7k7,966
US real GDP growth in 2032
2.1% to 2.5%
10%+ 13 contracts
Oct 19
7k7,724
Utah gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.7500
99%+ 16 contracts
Feb 28
7k7,700
US real GDP growth in 2029
2.1% to 2.5%
16%+ 13 contracts
Dec 17
7k7,573
Bank of England rate decision in December
Maintain current rate
54%+ 4 contracts
Oct 19
7k7,296
New Mexico gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.3100
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
8k8,219
Wisconsin gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.1800
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
7k7,215
Delaware gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.0250
99%+ 16 contracts
Dec 31
7k7,136
How low will gas prices in New York get this year
Below $2.70
10%+ 4 contracts
Oct 19
6k6,569
Idaho gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.7700
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
6k6,134
South Dakota gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.2200
87%+ 16 contracts
Oct 19
5k5,858
Nevada gas prices tomorrow
Above $5.3600
99%+ 16 contracts
Feb 28
5k5,519
US real GDP growth in 2030
2.6% to 3.0%
14%+ 13 contracts
Oct 19
5k5,240
Indiana gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.8200
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 5
5k5,105
Bank of England rate decision in November
Hike 1-25bps
94%+ 4 contracts
Oct 19
5k5,064
Wyoming gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.4450
99%+ 16 contracts
Jan 1
6k6,042
Number of US oil rigs at end of 2026
At least 380
99%+ 11 contracts
Oct 27
4k4,235
US new home sales for September
Above 600,000
91%+ 7 contracts
Oct 19
4k4,190
Montana gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.4300
99%+ 16 contracts
Jan 28
3k3,725
US GDP growth in Q4 2026
Above 0.0%
94%+ 8 contracts
Jan 1
14k14,767
Lowest natural gas spot price inā 2026
$1.99 or below
54%+ 6 contracts
Apr 29
2k2,804
US GDP growth in Q1 2027
Above 0.0%
95%+ 8 contracts
Dec 17
2k2,510
European Central Bank rate decision in December
Hike 1-25bps
80%+ 4 contracts
Nov 12
2k2,083
US existing home sales for October
Above 3.60M
98%+ 7 contracts
Oct 19
1k1,952
Maryland gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.0900
99%+ 16 contracts
Jul 29
1k1,374
US GDP growth in Q2 2027
Above 0.0%
93%+ 8 contracts
Oct 29
785785
2026 September Core PCE Index
Above 0.2%
95%+ 4 contracts
Jan 26
211211
Fed funds rate after Jan 2028 meeting
Above 0.00%
99%+ 24 contracts
Oct 22
120120
Bank of Korea Decision October 22 2026
No change
80%+ 4 contracts
Nov 5
3030
Bank of Mexico Decision November 5 2026
No change
74%+ 4 contracts
Sep 15
2929
Fed funds rate after Sep 2027 meeting
Above 0.00%
99%+ 24 contracts
Jul 28
1919
Fed funds rate after Jul 2027 meeting
Above 0.00%
99%+ 24 contracts
Nov 30
Singapore Overnight Rate Average November 30 2026
1.2
--%+ 4 contracts
Oct 30
Singapore Overnight Rate Average October 30 2026
0.6
0%+ 4 contracts
Oct 28
Number of Dissenting FOMC Members October 28 2026
0 dissents
0%+ 4 contracts
Dec 9
Number of Dissenting FOMC Members December 9 2026
0 dissents
0%+ 4 contracts
Dec 17
Bank of Mexico Decision December 17 2026
Lower 25bps
--%+ 4 contracts
Nov 26
Bank of Korea Decision November 26 2026
Lower 25bps
--%+ 4 contracts
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