Prediction markets
Inflation in Apr 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 2.3%99%
Above 2.4%99%
Above 2.5%99%
CPI in April
Greater than -0.1%99%
Greater than 0.0%99%
Greater than 0.1%99%
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025
More tech layoffs In 202687.0%
Inflation in May 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 2.4%99%
Above 2.5%99%
Above 2.6%99%
CPI in May
Greater than -0.3%99%
Greater than 0.0%97%
Greater than -0.2%95%
Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 2.7%99%
Above 2.5%98%
Above 2.6%98%
May 12
521k521,618
Inflation in Apr 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 2.3%
99%+ 22 contracts
May 12
483k483,100
CPI in April
Greater than -0.1%
99%+ 11 contracts
Mar 1
155k155,355
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025
More tech layoffs In 2026
87%Jun 10
52k52,231
Inflation in May 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 2.4%
99%+ 26 contracts
Jun 10
37k37,674
CPI in May
Greater than -0.3%
99%+ 13 contracts
Jul 14
21k21,727
Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 2.7%
99%+ 15 contracts
Jun 5
15k15,985
Jobs numbers in May 2026
Above -50,000
98%+ 16 contracts
Jul 14
11k11,537
CPI in June
Greater than -0.1%
91%+ 6 contracts
May 9
7k7,675
US Initial Jobless Claims May 9 2026
180000 US Initial Jobless Claims
95%+ 6 contracts
Aug 12
3k3,766
CPI in July
Greater than -0.1%
93%+ 6 contracts
Sep 11
2k2,318
CPI in August
Greater than -0.1%
91%+ 6 contracts
Dec 10
2k2,120
CPI in November
Greater than -0.1%
94%+ 6 contracts
Oct 14
1k1,779
CPI in September
Greater than -0.1%
93%+ 6 contracts
Nov 10
1k1,355
CPI in October
Greater than -0.1%
92%+ 6 contracts
May 23
801801
US Initial Jobless Claims May 23 2026
180000 US Initial Jobless Claims
92%+ 6 contracts
May 16
581581
US Initial Jobless Claims May 16 2026
190000 US Initial Jobless Claims
92%+ 6 contracts
May 30
300300
US Initial Jobless Claims May 30 2026
190000 US Initial Jobless Claims
90%+ 6 contracts
Jun 5
Unemployment in May 2026
Above 3.9%
--%+ 9 contracts
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