Prediction markets
US real GDP growth in 2026
2.1% to 2.5%33.1%
1.6% to 2.0%26.4%
1.1% to 1.5%18.0%
Unemployment in August
Above 3.7%98%
Above 3.8%97%
Above 3.9%91%
More tech layoffs in 20ā26 than in 2025
More tech layoffs In 202691.9%
Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 2.5%99%
Above 2.6%99%
Above 2.7%99%
CPI in August
Greater than -0.1%99%
Greater than -0.3%99%
Greater than 0.0%99%
US real GDP growth in 2035
1.6% to 2.0%15%
2.1% to 2.5%15%
2.6% to 3.0%14%
Feb 28
257k257,547
US real GDP growth in 2026
2.1% to 2.5%
33%+ 13 contracts
Sep 4
214k214,090
Unemployment in August
Above 3.7%
98%+ 13 contracts
Mar 1
169k169,473
More tech layoffs in 20ā26 than in 2025
More tech layoffs In 2026
92%Sep 11
106k106,931
Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 2.5%
99%+ 25 contracts
Sep 11
66k66,560
CPI in August
Greater than -0.1%
99%+ 14 contracts
Feb 28
35k35,850
US real GDP growth in 2035
1.6% to 2.0%
15%+ 13 contracts
Sep 4
35k35,793
Jobs numbers in Aug 2026
Above -25,000
85%+ 12 contracts
Feb 28
21k21,733
US real GDP growth in 2033
1.6% to 2.0%
12%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
16k16,707
US real GDP growth in 2027
2.1% to 2.5%
16%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
16k16,158
US real GDP growth in 2034
1.6% to 2.0%
12%+ 13 contracts
Oct 2
14k14,505
Unemployment in September
Above 3.7%
93%+ 13 contracts
Dec 31
11k11,830
US real GDP growth in 2036
1.6% to 2.0%
20%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
11k11,613
US real GDP growth in 2028
2.6% to 3.0%
12%+ 13 contracts
Feb 29
8k8,819
US real GDP growth in 2031
2.1% to 2.5%
15%+ 13 contracts
Sep 10
8k8,385
US existing home sales for August
Above 3.70M
91%+ 7 contracts
Feb 28
7k7,924
US real GDP growth in 2032
2.1% to 2.5%
20%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
7k7,700
US real GDP growth in 2029
2.1% to 2.5%
16%+ 13 contracts
Nov 6
6k6,473
Unemployment in October
Above 3.7%
92%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
5k5,645
US real GDP growth in 2030
2.6% to 3.0%
19%+ 13 contracts
Oct 14
5k5,354
CPI in September
Greater than -0.3%
98%+ 10 contracts
Aug 27
5k5,009
2026 August 27 Unemployment Claims
Above 205000
55%+ 9 contracts
Oct 14
4k4,359
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.1%
95%+ 20 contracts
Jan 28
3k3,535
US GDP growth in Q4 2026
Above 0.0%
94%+ 8 contracts
Dec 10
3k3,174
CPI in November
Greater than -0.1%
92%+ 6 contracts
Dec 10
2k2,818
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.2%
98%+ 20 contracts
Apr 29
2k2,709
US GDP growth in Q1 2027
Above 0.0%
84%+ 8 contracts
Nov 10
2k2,365
CPI in October
Greater than 0.0%
98%+ 6 contracts
Dec 4
2k2,014
Unemployment in November
Above 3.7%
90%+ 13 contracts
Jul 29
1k1,313
US GDP growth in Q2 2027
Above 0.0%
95%+ 8 contracts
Sep 24
5050
US new home sales for August
Above 660,000
6%+ 7 contracts
Sep 3
2026 September 3 Unemployment Claims
Above 180000
--%+ 10 contracts
Sep 30
2026 August Core PCE Index
Above 0.0%
--%+ 4 contracts
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