Prediction markets

 

Texas Republican Senate nominee

Ken Paxton62%
John Cornyn39%
 

2026 Texas Senate matchup

Talarico vs. Paxton62%
Talarico vs. Cornyn40%
 

Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory

Ken Paxton, 0-5%32%
John Cornyn, 0-5%28%
Ken Paxton, 5-10%23%
 

TX-33 Democratic nominee

Julie Johnson16%
Colin Allred82%
 

Texas Republican Attorney General nominee

Mayes Middleton71%
Chip Roy36%
 

TX-18 Democratic nominee

Christian Menefee94.0%
Al Green13%
May 26
3.35M3,351,232
Texas Republican Senate nominee
Ken Paxton
62%
+ 4 contracts
May 26
1.28M1,284,958
2026 Texas Senate matchup
Talarico vs. Paxton
62%
+ 5 contracts
May 26
144k144,844
Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory
Ken Paxton, 0-5%
32%
+ 9 contracts
May 26
98k98,316
TX-33 Democratic nominee
Colin Allred
82%
+ 2 contracts
May 26
85k85,191
Texas Republican Attorney General nominee
Mayes Middleton
71%
+ 1 contracts
May 26
39k39,827
TX-18 Democratic nominee
Christian Menefee
94%
+ 3 contracts
May 26
9k9,512
Texas Democratic Attorney General nominee
Nathan Johnson
92%
+ 1 contracts
May 26
15k15,253
TX-32 Republican nominee
Jace Yarbrough
93%
+ 8 contracts
May 26
18k18,598
TX-35 Republican nominee
Carlos De La Cruz
81%
+ 10 contracts
May 26
21k21,568
TX-38 Republican nominee
Jon Bonck
99%
+ 9 contracts
May 26
5k5,988
TX-09 Republican nominee
Alexandra del Moral Mealer
97%
+ 8 contracts
May 26
8k8,040
TX-19 Republican nominee
Tom Sell
97%
+ 6 contracts
May 26
5k5,196
TX-17 Democratic nominee
Casey Shepard
98%
+ 2 contracts
May 26
4k4,653
TX-24 Democratic nominee
Kevin Burge
98%
+ 2 contracts
May 26
5k5,347
TX-07 Republican nominee
Alexander Hale
97%
+ 3 contracts
May 26
2k2,825
TX-35 Democratic nominee
Johnny Garcia
91%
+ 3 contracts
May 26
10k10,332
TX-16 Republican nominee
Adam Bauman
95%
+ 6 contracts
May 26
4k4,742
TX-01 Democratic nominee
Yolanda Prince
92%
+ 3 contracts
May 26
3k3,032
TX-14 Democratic nominee
Richard Davis
86%
+ 2 contracts
May 26
2k2,057
TX-05 Democratic nominee
Chelsey Hockett
85%
+ 2 contracts
May 26
2k2,251
TX-37 Republican nominee
Lauren Peña
70%
+ 2 contracts
May 26
2k2,553
TX-30 Republican nominee
Everett Jackson
91%
+ 3 contracts
May 26
5k5,438
TX-33 Republican nominee
Patrick Gillespie
96%
+ 4 contracts
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