Prediction markets / Midterms / Control of Congress

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

Below 53 seats79¢
53 seats8.0¢
54 seats3.5¢
LIVE
1D
1W
MAX

Select a contract

Timeline

Trading hours
24 hours a day, except Thursday 3AM-5AM ET
Event day
November 3, 2026
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Trading prohibitions

  • Holders of federal and statewide public office.
  • Paid campaign staffers on House and Senate campaigns.
  • Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
  • Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of Congressional campaigns.
  • Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations,
  • Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and "Super PACs"
  • Paid employees of major polling organizations.
  • Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations
  • All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
  • All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
  • All staff of the Office of the President of the United States
  • All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States
  • All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices

Similar events

Will Nebraska vote to extend legislative term limits to 12 years
NY-10 House winner
NY-11 House winner
Candidate to win the SC-01 House race
Will Ohio vote to constitutionalize in-person voter ID
IA-04 House winner
CA-04 House winner
OK-02 House winner
Candidate to win the 2028 Republican VP nominee
Rhode Island Democratic Senate nominee
Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee
Party to win the Maryland Governor
Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Futures, options on futures and cleared swaps trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances.
Read the Event Contracts Risk Disclosure for more information about the risks associated with event contracts.
Live data is for informational purposes only. It maybe delayed or incorrect.
Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through either KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC or Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC.